Introducing the 100 Pathways Study
The New Climate Canada is excited to present 100 Pathways, an extensive analysis of the Climate Action Plans from 100 large municipalities across the country. Over the last decade, municipalities have been involved in climate planning and have undertaken significant funding commitments. Hundreds of published Climate Action Plans now exist and these include policies, regulations, and infrastructure investments directly impacting millions of residents, from St. John’s to Victoria to Iqaluit. The 100 Pathways study will bring together a unique dataset and scoring framework to systematically analyze these plans from Canada’s largest cities. We will identify key similarities, uncover shared challenges, highlight emerging preferences, and extract insights about future directions. The study will indicate which strategies are perceived as most effective, which technology choices are prevalent, and what patterns are emerging based on demographics and geography. Stay tuned! Over the coming weeks and months, we’ll share updates and key findings. We want you to be part of the conversation. Follow our progress, share your thoughts, and get involved.
Visit our website www.thenewclimate.ca or email us at info@thenewclimate.ca to learn more and stay informed!
From Data to Insight for Decision-makers
Previous assessments have effectively mapped the broad policy landscape of municipal climate action from national and global perspectives. The 100 Pathways study builds on this work by analyzing specific policy and investment intentions within the Canadian context. It is a comparative, detailed examination of 100 Canadian climate action plans, creating a structured database of local priorities, implementation mechanisms, and purchasing signals. For practitioners, advocates, and investors, this will offer an understanding of what cities plan and how they plan to spend and implement. The dataset will include the full set of the action plan details, providing peer benchmarks, validated procurement intentions, and policy approaches that have synergistic or scaling potential. The 100 Pathways study provides insights from the authoritative approved climate action plans in the Canadian municipal context. It is essential content for professionals involved in the climate sector and continuing work toward the transition to a low-carbon future.
Collectively, these 100 cities directly influence more than 50% of Canada’s emissions. Their influence over transportation, building standards, waste systems, energy, and land-use planning makes their Climate Action Plans central to Canada’s ability to reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) and transition from fossil fuels.
These plans involve more than $1 billion in intended purchases. The plans are the result of thousands of hours of city staff work, extensive community consultation, and a stable, cross-sector policy consensus. Supported by federal funding (e.g., FCM-administered Green Municipal Fund), provincial directions, and the stark reality of climate impacts (floods, fires), the momentum for strategic climate planning is well established. The results are in front of us now. These are never perfect, but the impacts are accumulating. There are new bike lanes and programs, updated building codes, modernized regulations, and major infrastructure projects for waste, water, and energy. A lot is going on.
Your Map to Canada’s Climate Investment Future
The Climate Action Plans (CAPs) in Canada represent a massive set of intended expenditures ranging from solar installations to flood abatements. The analysis will provide a view to effectiveness measures and trends for future policy directions.
The study will provide benchmarking and budget justification insights against 100 peers. There will be data-driven insights to how cities with similar challenges develop approaches, avoid costly missteps, and assess budgets for approvals. Use relevant insights to identify successful projects, anticipate operational gaps. Use peer evidence business case rationales and cost estimates with Canada-wide data. The data will identify municipal investment trends across the range of climate-related areas. Look for insights to the kinds of commercial opportunities that are emerging. Use the data to see where the investments heat pumps to EV fleets—see how business area aligning their solutions with procurement priorities in 100 climate plans. Map high-growth sectors (e.g. building electrification vs infrastructure investments). Identify opportunities to de-risk R&D with market-trend intelligence and focus sales efforts to cities with approved spending.
Leverage cross-Canada evidence to advocate for bold policies using proven models to address delays and scale solutions that have been shown to be effective. Spotlight policy champions (e.g., Vancouver’s emissions-free building code), see how comparable challenges have been met and use hyperlocal evidence to advocate.
The 100 Pathway’s data and analysis will provide agenda advancing insights for those involved in climate change initiatives and advocacy in the Canadian context.
100 Pathways Methodology: Transparent, Rigorous, Actionable
The 100 Pathways analysis leverages the publicly available approved Climate Action Plans (CAPs), and these represent real-world public mandates and funding decisions for addressing climate mitigation and adaptation for the selected 100 cities.
These CAPs are translated into a structured dataset using a systematic approach and frameworks to ensure that the insights are traceable and grounded in actual decision-based information. Detailed methodologies will be published separately, but our approach includes:
- Objective Scoring: Metrics aligned with IPCC/C40 content.
- Contextual Intelligence: Statistical controls for city traits.
- Dynamic Visualization: Tools to explore the trends and relationships.
From Data and Visualizations to Insights
The data analysis and visualisations are a decisions map to show what approaches are being activated, where investments flows are going, and how policies may corelate and scale. This can reduce noise with comparisons from Toronto to Yellowknife. This can show which type of CAP investments align with highest impacts for climate mitigation and adaptation.
Methodology: A Mixed-Methods Approach with Foundations in Policy Analysis
1. Analytical Framework: Adapting the C40 Taxonomy
To enable systematic cross-jurisdictional comparison, we are using the C40 Cities’ 13 thematic areas—familiar for global cities that are work with C40 and adopted by leading Canadian municipalities (Toronto, Montréal, Vancouver). Each thematic area is decomposed into 4-7 observable indicators (total: 84 indicators), creating a granular scoring matrix. This framework allows for international comparability and is flexible for Canadian-specific nuances.
2. Data Acquisition
The New Climate’s data acquisition strategy relies on publicly accessible sources so that there is full transparency and replicability for solid policy analysis. The base data includes:
- Primary Documents: Ratified CAPs, council minutes, budget annexes
- Secondary Evidence: Performance dashboards (e.g., Fredericton), auditor reports (e.g., Vancouver), implementation records (e.g., Ottawa LRT contracts)
The ratified CAP and council minutes have an initial priority in the analysis, while budget allocation decisions (which may have a time lag) and subsequent implementation-related procurements or programs have a later priority in the analysis. This prioritising allows for the findings to be focused on accountability and approved directions rather than political claims and aspirations.
3. Quantitative Scoring Approach
A 5-point ordinal scale is used to assess the effectiveness, strength, and maturity level associated with each indicator. This approach for comparative policy analysis (e.g., Climate Policy Tracker) translates complex actions into auditable metrics for comparability:
Score Effectiveness / Maturity
Example
1 Aspirational (no binding mechanism) – “Exploring bike lane options”
3 Operational (funded, measurable) – “50 EV chargers by 2025”
5 Transformative (regulatory shift) – “Zero-emissions building code (2024)”
Reliability safeguards: Inter-rater testing (Cohen’s κ >0.8), emissions-impact weighting (IPCC AR6 GWPs).
4. Advanced Analytical Techniques
To uncover latent patterns within this multidimensional dataset, we are using established methods. This allows for descriptive summaries to identify causal drivers, clusters, cohorts, and predictive relationships:
Method – Example/Application
- Hierarchical Clustering – Identifies city archetypes (e.g., “Equity-Focused Innovators”)
- Fixed-Effects Regression – Tests drivers of policy ambition (e.g., β=0.38** for climate staff size → justice scores)
- Rationale Framing – Extracts business-case rationale patterns (e.g., “co-benefit framing” vs “cost savings framing” prevalence)
- Correlation – Detects geographic innovation clusters (e.g., Atlantic tidal energy corridor)
5. Visualization & Knowledge Translation
To maximize accessibility and impact across audiences, this project utilizes interactive visual analytics tools. These outputs transform complex findings into intuitive, explorable formats – bridging technical depth and executive decision-making:
- Dynamic Policy Radars: Compare cities across 13 themes (filterable by region/population size and other dimensions)
- Relationships, contrasts and clustering based on various dimensions and factors
- Investment Flow Maps
- Geospatial allocation of capital by sector
- Outlier Case Studies: Deep dives into novel technology and program approaches that may have broader applicability.
6. Methodological Approach
- Policy Traceability: All scores linked to public sources (indexed).
- Actionable Findings: 84 indicators surface implementable insights (e.g., Cities with >3 FTEs in climate equity adopt 2.1× more anti-displacement policies).
- Mixed-Methods Depth: Integrates statistical validity with contextual intelligence.
Full methodological appendices—including codebooks, regression specifications, and sensitivity analyses—will accompany the final report.
Methodology Anchors: Framework: C40 Cities • Scoring: ICLEI Pathways • Validation: FCM Green Fund Guidelines • Peer Review: SSHRC Climate Policy Consortium
100 Pathways: Strategic Value for Decision-makers
Municipal CAPs represent an unprecedented level of local policy and investment focussed on climate issues. Decision-makers benefit from the holistic view of these plans.
This 100 Pathways study provides a coherent, detailed view of these plans and offers transparency and comparability among the plans. The study offers invaluable insight toward the future directions:
- Advance advocacy by enabling residents to see where pledges are turning into visible projects.
- Identifying synergies to reveal common challenges and shared solutions across diverse municipalities.
- Mapping budgetary commitments to purchasing events to identify market opportunities.
- Providing comparative data to strengthen funding proposals and cost estimates.
- Accelerate solutions and avoid pitfalls by adapting proven models from peer cities.
- Targeting resources to things that work and enable decision-makers to scale what is demonstrably working.
As the FCM 2025–2028 Strategic Plan notes, “Lateral learning between municipalities is Canada’s most underused climate accelerator.” This study is designed to make that learning systematic, efficient, and actionable.
Data Into Momentum
This analysis functions as a collaborative engine, designed to overcome barriers by turning isolated data into insights for shared momentum. There are myriad of pitfalls that have affected broader mitigation and adaptation strategies. These sorts of pitfalls are addressed with the availability of this kind of analysis.
Pitfall: Isolated Experiments
- Synergy: Identifies and details replicable models from across the country.
- Impact: Allows a successful approach in one city to be efficiently adapted to another, saving time and resources.
Pitfall: Advocacy Fragmentation
- Synergy: Flags high-impact, high-ambition policies for scaling.
- Impact: Provides advocates with evidence of what is possible, helping to elevate local campaigns and align efforts nationally.
Pitfall: Market Guesswork
- Synergy: Reveals clear procurement signals and investment priorities from a market representing over 85% of Canadians.
- Impact: Helps businesses align their R&D and sales strategies with the stated needs and timelines of municipalities.
Insights, Effectiveness and Future Directions
There are important uses of this study for key decision-makers that are involved with allocating resources, managing risk, driving measurable outcomes and setting out future directions.
Leadership and Policy Development:
- Benchmarking is a Strategic Advantage: It is important to expand beyond using internal assessments and benchmark city climate goals and implementation readiness against a relevant set of peer municipalities. This provides the advantage of an objective baseline to understand and communicate strategic priorities.
- De-Risking Budgetary Requests: Gap analyses and evidence of peer investments can be utilised to substantiate capital budget requests and funding proposals.
- Financial Effectiveness: The analysis can offer a view to how financing flows to programs and policy approaches that have demonstrated efficacy in comparable municipal contexts.
Effective Advocacy:
- Evidence-Based Priorities: Communication effectiveness can be strengthened with selected data on policy adoption rates and implementation gaps. The discussions can be shifted from general principles to specific, evidence-based demands for higher ambition and accountability.
- Standardised Views: Standardizing the view of climate project costs and objectives —modeled on leading cities— can be developed to provide clear metrics for progress and to strengthen goal setting.
- Project Design: The information can help climate project design by focusing on the replication of proven, data-validated models and preferred investment areas.
Market Information:
- Market Intelligence for Strategic Alignment: Improved understanding of purchase intensions through a coordinated view of municipal plan information and help align marketing approaches. The analysis will show the most prevalent and emerging procurement signals from leading municipalities.
- Innovation Partnership Targeting: Identify and partner with leading “lighthouse” municipalities to pilot innovative technologies and solutions, using them as a reference case for broader market roll-out.
Building Canada’s Climate Intelligence Commons
Climate change is affecting all Canadians through increased flooding, wildfires, heatwaves, and infrastructure failures. The 100 Pathways study is a foundational resource for climate action planning efforts in Canada. It is a comprehensive, comparative analysis of 100 ratified municipal CAPs from across Canada. The application of a consistent scoring framework across 84 validated indicators, utilizing highly accountable information, provides a valuable resource for climate planning practitioners in the Canadian context. The transformation of these individual plans into a unified dataset allows for unprecedented views:
- Identification of the broad range of high-impact and replicable policies.
- Comparison of plans and investments to identify clusters and cohorts.
- Providing a line-of-sight to procurement and investment trends to inform decisions.
The 100 Pathways study is a practical set of insights designed to build a data-driven, evidence-based approach to adaptation and mitigation planning to advance toward a more resilient, low-carbon future.
100 Pathways Bibliography
Canadian Government Resources
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC)
- Climate Change Portal: Canada’s climate plans, progress reports, science data, and funding programs. Includes Net-Zero Emissions roadmap and Climate Action Map.
Environment and Climate Change Canada 1 - Climate Library: 400+ annotated resources (datasets, tools, guidance) from federal/provincial governments and international organizations. Searchable by sector, resource type, and variables.
Library of Climate Resources 6
Federation of Canadian Municipalities (FCM)
- Green Municipal Fund: Funding guides and case studies for climate infrastructure (e.g., renewable energy, waste management). FCM Green Municipal Fund 712
- Guide for Municipal Climate Change Staff: Step-by-step playbook for new municipal climate staff, covering decision-making systems, business case development, and data sources. Guide: Municipal Climate Change Staff 7
- Municipalities for Climate Innovation Program (MCIP): Reports on 600+ municipal projects, training events, and tools for GHG reduction and climate resilience. MCIP Portal 12
International Frameworks & Tools
C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group
- Knowledge Hub: Case studies, best practices, and implementation tools for urban climate action (e.g., net-zero buildings, clean transport). Curated for practical use by city staff.C40 Knowledge Hub 4
ICLEI Canada
- Advancing Implementation Training Initiative (AITI): Cohort-based training to overcome barriers in climate adaptation implementation (e.g., funding access, equity integration).
AITI Program 3 - Resources Gateway: GHG protocols, policy templates, and community innovation case studies. ICLEI Canada Resources 13
Covenant of Mayors (EU)
- SECAP Guidebooks: Step-by-step methodologies for developing Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plans, including risk assessments, energy poverty, and financing. SECAP Library 10
Supplementary Research & Bibliographies
Climate Change Policy Bibliographies
- Climate Change Cross Country Scan (Canadian Institute of Planners): Provincial/municipal climate plans (2001–2018).
- Climate Change Adaptation Plans (Legislative Library of BC): Federal/provincial adaptation strategies 6.
Wetlands and Climate Impacts
- Climate Change and Water Level Impacts on Wetlands: Bibliography on Great Lakes wetland vulnerability (ECCC, 1991) 11.